BTC priced at or above $25,000 five years from today

Created by Michael Dickens on 2017-09-16; known 12 days ago; judged wrong by Michael Dickens 11 days ago.

  • Michael Dickens estimated 3% on 2017-09-16
  • Michael Dickens said “predicted by some guy on CNN 2017-09-16
  • Michael Dickens said “My reasoning: BTC annual stdev is ~100%. Factoring in general price increase, this would be about a 4 sigma event. Very unlikely for normal dist, but asset prices are fat tailed.on 2017-09-16
  • themusicgod1 estimated 72% and said “(assuming : all forks of bitcoin combined)on 2017-09-16
  • Michael Dickens said “Clarification: predictions is about the price on the exact date 2022-09-15, not whether it will exceed $25K at any point before then.on 2017-09-29
  • Flenser estimated 65% on 2017-11-08
  • adanvers estimated 99% on 2022-03-31
  • Baeboo estimated 80% on 2022-03-31
  • Baeboo said “#bitcoinon 2022-03-31
  • Michael Dickens said “At $19,817 as of right now.11 days ago
  • Michael Dickens   judged this prediction wrong 11 days ago.

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