North Korea will test (or attempt to test) a nuclear bomb (any yield, any method of delivery) between 24th Sept 2017 and before the end of 2017

Created by two2thehead on 2017-09-24; known on 2018-01-05; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2018-01-01.

  • two2thehead estimated 90% on 2017-09-24
  • two2thehead said “I first wrote this under the assumption that they’d stick with underground testing. But this also allows for a detonation after being delivered by a missileon 2017-09-24
  • themusicgod1 estimated 51% on 2017-09-24
  • two2thehead estimated 80% on 2017-11-12
  • two2thehead estimated 51% on 2017-12-21
  • two2thehead estimated 1% on 2017-12-30
  • ccokeefe estimated 1% on 2017-12-30
  • Baeboo estimated 1% on 2017-12-30
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2017-12-31
  • two2thehead  judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.

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