North Korea will test (or attempt to test) a nuclear bomb (any yield, any method of delivery) between 24th Sept 2017 and before the end of 2017

Created by two2thehead on 2017-09-24; known on 2018-01-05; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2018-01-01.

• two2thehead estimated 90% on 2017-09-24
• two2thehead said “I first wrote this under the assumption that they’d stick with underground testing. But this also allows for a detonation after being delivered by a missile” on 2017-09-24
• themusicgod1 estimated 51% on 2017-09-24
• two2thehead estimated 80% on 2017-11-12
• two2thehead estimated 51% on 2017-12-21
• two2thehead estimated 1% on 2017-12-30
• ccokeefe estimated 1% on 2017-12-30
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2017-12-30
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2017-12-31
• two2thehead   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.