Trump approval rating below 38% (according to 538 all-polls)
Created by ioannes on 2017-10-02; known on 2017-12-01; judged wrong by jamesrom on 2018-10-22.
- ioannes estimated 40% on 2017-10-02
- Tenobrus estimated 50% on 2017-10-03
- jamesrom estimated 40% on 2017-11-01
- lwbayes91 estimated 42% on 2017-11-21
- lwbayes91 estimated 37% on 2017-11-28
- ioannes judged this prediction wrong on 2017-12-01.
- jamesrom judged this prediction right on 2018-02-15.
- jamesrom said “According to fivethirtyeight, Trump had exactly (not below) 38% approval on 1 December.” on 2018-02-15
- jamesrom judged this prediction wrong on 2018-10-22.