The first SpaceX Falcon Heavy launch will be declared successful, whether it meets all objectives or not.

Created by Athrithalix on 2017-10-03; known on 2018-02-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2018-02-06.

  • Athrithalix estimated 80% on 2017-10-03
  • regex estimated 51% on 2017-10-28
  • JoshuaZ said “Needs deadline extended. Also, maybe more precision on declared by whom and what they say precisely? This seems vague. on 2017-12-01
  • Athrithalix changed the deadline from “on 2017-11-30on 2017-12-12
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2018-02-06.
  • JoshuaZ said “Seems fair. Second stage still needs to finish up, and center core who knows, but both side boosters were happy. on 2018-02-06

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