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The SpaceX BFS to Mars missions will not stick to the schedule announced at IAC 2017.

Created by Athrithalix on 2017-10-03; known on 2022-10-01

  • Athrithalix estimated 90% on 2017-10-03
  • Flenser estimated 75% and said “Assuming the schedule is 2 cargo missions launched in 2022 that intend to land on Mars. Ignoring the 2024 scheduled missions since this is set to “known on 2022-10-01”.” on 2017-11-08
  • JoshuaZ estimated 88% on 2021-02-06