https://predictionbook.com/predictions/186415 + Stephen Paddock targeted the country music festival because Paddock or ISIS or a co-conspirator believed the attendees were more likely to be Trump voters or supportive of bomb-ISIS policies
- bobpage estimated 60% on 2017-10-08
- themusicgod1 estimated 42% on 2017-10-08
- bobpage judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-01.
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