The new Amazon HQ will be hosted by a city with a population of < 3,000,000 people in its metropolitan area

Created by WilliamKiely on 2017-10-22; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

• WilliamKiely estimated 25% on 2017-10-22
• WilliamKiely said “Prediction is right if the official Amazon announcement places the HQ in a city of population of < 3M in its metropolitan area, per the Wikipedia list of 2016 census estimates. (This excluded the largest 18 cities).” on 2017-10-22
• WilliamKiely said “https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Metropolitan_Statistical_Areas” on 2017-10-22
• WilliamKiely said “Taken from: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/567/where-will-amazon-locate-its-second-headquarters/” on 2017-10-22
• WilliamKiely said “Articles I looked at: https://www.economy.com/dismal/analysis/commentary/298321/Where-Amazons-Next-Headquarters-Should-Go/” on 2017-10-22
• WilliamKiely said “http://fortune.com/2017/10/18/amazon-hq2-top-cities/” on 2017-10-22
• WilliamKiely said “http://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-hq2-top-cities-according-to-moodys-data-2017-10/#10-salt-lake-city-1” on 2017-10-22
• WilliamKiely said “I live in Austin and this click-bait article is what provoked my interest in the question: http://www.businessinsider.com/amazons-5-billion-headquarters-is-most-likely-to-go-to-austin-texas-2017-10” on 2017-10-22
• WilliamKiely changed the deadline from “on 2018-12-31” and changed their prediction from “The new Amazon HQ be hosted by a city with a population of < 3,000,000 people in its metropolitan area” on 2017-10-22
• Bruno Parga said “In the end it was split between NYC and the DC area, each of which has >3M people.” on 2019-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-01.

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