[The Brazilian presidential election will] either be won by Lula da Silva in the first round or have him advance to the runoff

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-10-30; known 9 days ago; judged wrong by Bruno Parga 29 days ago.

  • Bruno Parga estimated 65% on 2017-10-30
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 35% on 2017-10-30
  • Bruno Parga said “This is conditional on him not being disqualified from running due to a criminal conviction.on 2017-11-23
  • uriel.fiori estimated 70% on 2017-11-24
  • Bruno Parga said “I hadn’t honestly thought of the possibility of him being disqualified when I created the prediction, so I’ll just mark this as wrong (instead of withdrawing it)29 days ago
  • Bruno Parga  judged this prediction wrong 29 days ago.

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction