[The Brazilian presidential election will] either be won by Lula da Silva in the first round or have him advance to the runoff
- Bruno Parga estimated 65% on 2017-10-30
- chemotaxis101 estimated 35% on 2017-10-30
- Bruno Parga said “This is conditional on him not being disqualified from running due to a criminal conviction.” on 2017-11-23
- uriel.fiori estimated 70% on 2017-11-24
- Bruno Parga said “I hadn’t honestly thought of the possibility of him being disqualified when I created the prediction, so I’ll just mark this as wrong (instead of withdrawing it)” 29 days ago
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong 29 days ago.
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