[The Brazilian presidential election will] have no state won by a candidate that finishes third or lower overall

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-10-30; known on 2018-10-08; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-10-08.

• Bruno Parga estimated 50% on 2017-10-30
• chemotaxis101 estimated 60% on 2017-10-30
• Bruno Parga said “To be clear: ‘state’ here includes the Federal District, the only state won by Marina Silva in 2014.” on 2017-10-31
• uriel.fiori estimated 70% on 2017-11-24
• Bruno Parga said “Ciro Gomes won his home state of Ceará.” on 2018-10-08
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-10-08.