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[The Brazilian presidential election will] have no state won by a candidate that finishes third or lower overall

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-10-30; known on 2018-10-08; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-10-08.

  • Bruno Parga estimated 50% on 2017-10-30
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 60% on 2017-10-30
  • Bruno Parga said “To be clear: ‘state’ here includes the Federal District, the only state won by Marina Silva in 2014.on 2017-10-31
  • uriel.fiori estimated 70% on 2017-11-24
  • Bruno Parga said “Ciro Gomes won his home state of Ceará.on 2018-10-08
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-10-08.