[The Brazilian presidential election will] have no state won by a candidate that finishes third or lower overall
- Bruno Parga estimated 50% on 2017-10-30
- chemotaxis101 estimated 60% on 2017-10-30
- Bruno Parga said “To be clear: ‘state’ here includes the Federal District, the only state won by Marina Silva in 2014.” on 2017-10-31
- uriel.fiori estimated 70% on 2017-11-24
- Bruno Parga said “Ciro Gomes won his home state of Ceará.” on 2018-10-08
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2018-10-08.
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