Cmydd gsvv gbsdo k lvyqzycd drkd bopoboxmoc wkdobskv lbyeqrd ez sx wi zycd lopybo dro oxn yp dro iokb

Created by bendini on 2017-11-06; known on 2017-12-31; judged wrong by bendini on 2017-12-27.

  • bendini estimated 60% on 2017-11-06
  • Michael Dickens estimated 35% and said “If you want your prediction to be a secret, you shouldn’t use a substitution cipher, and if you want it to be public but unreadable, you should use rot13.on 2017-11-09
  • bendini said “it is meant to be a trivial inconvenience, why would rot13 be better?on 2017-11-20
  • bendini estimated 10% and said “causal chain has been broken, pretty unlikely nowon 2017-12-06
  • bendini  judged this prediction wrong on 2017-12-27.
  • bendini said “http://slatestarcodex.com/2018/07/05/the-craft-and-the-codex better late than never30 days ago

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