[Crisis in Zimbabwe] Mr and Mrs Mugabe and/or other factions dispute power with the generals; violence erupts, no single clear de facto leadership in the country

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-11-16; known on 2017-12-17; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2017-12-12.

• Bruno Parga estimated 25% on 2017-11-16
• Bruno Parga estimated 40% and said “Mugabe has been removed as ZANU-PF party secretary, but has refused to resign as President.” on 2017-11-20
• Bruno Parga changed the deadline from “on 2017-12-16” on 2017-11-20
• Bruno Parga estimated 2% on 2017-11-24
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-12-12.