[Crisis in Zimbabwe] Something other than a Mugabe restoration, an army-supported takeover, or unrest/civil war
Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-11-16; known on 2017-12-17; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2017-12-12.
- Bruno Parga estimated 25% on 2017-11-16
- Bruno Parga changed the deadline from “on 2017-12-16” on 2017-11-20
- Bruno Parga estimated 5% on 2017-11-20
- Bruno Parga estimated 1% on 2017-11-24
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2017-12-12.