Kahneman (or whoever controls his email) will give an actual response to the question I sent him via an email

Created by crabman on 2017-11-25; known on 2017-12-26; judged right by crabman on 2017-11-25.

  • crabman estimated 50% on 2017-11-25
  • crabman   judged this prediction right on 2017-11-25.

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