SpaceX to beat Boeing in their informal space race (first boots on Mars).

Created by Athrithalix on 2017-12-12; known on 2022-01-16

  • Athrithalix estimated 85% on 2017-12-12
  • Athrithalix changed the deadline from “on 2022-01-16” and changed their prediction from “SpaceX to beat Boeing in their informal space race.” on 2017-12-12
  • Bruno Parga said “What happens if neither has put boots on Mars by 2022?on 2017-12-12
  • tjwalters@me.com estimated 74% on 2017-12-13
  • Athrithalix said “If no boots by 2022, wait until boots. If never resolved, then… …never resolved?on 2017-12-13
  • missbethann estimated 76% on 2017-12-13
  • PlacidPlatypus said “What if a third party beats them both? Wait until one of them does it too? What if they do it by buying a ticket from the third party?on 2017-12-13
  • Ben Doherty estimated 65% on 2017-12-16
  • gallerdude estimated 70% on 2017-12-21
  • aoeu estimated 87% on 2017-12-23
  • wuliwong estimated 100% on 2017-12-28
  • davidmanheim estimated 90% on 2018-01-03

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