[German government formation, 2017:] “German flag” coalition – Union/SPD/FDP (includes minority gov't)
- Bruno Parga estimated 1% on 2017-12-14
- ZeitPolizei said “are these conditional on there being no new election?” on 2017-12-14
- Rpitkani estimated 0% and said “FDP has already walked out of the Jamaica coalition talks. Their views are so radically different from the SPD I can’t see it working out, period.” on 2017-12-16
- Bruno Parga said “Yes, ZeitPolizei, this set of predictions is supposed to be all based on the Sept 2017 election. A new election is its own option and supersedes all the others.” on 2018-01-23
- Bruno Parga estimated 0% on 2018-01-23
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2018-03-15.
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