[German government formation, 2017:] “German flag” coalition – Union/SPD/FDP (includes minority gov't)

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-12-14; known on 2018-03-24; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-03-15.

• Bruno Parga estimated 1% on 2017-12-14
• ZeitPolizei said “are these conditional on there being no new election?” on 2017-12-14
• Rpitkani estimated 0% and said “FDP has already walked out of the Jamaica coalition talks. Their views are so radically different from the SPD I can’t see it working out, period.” on 2017-12-16
• Bruno Parga said “Yes, ZeitPolizei, this set of predictions is supposed to be all based on the Sept 2017 election. A new election is its own option and supersedes all the others.” on 2018-01-23
• Bruno Parga estimated 0% on 2018-01-23
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-03-15.