Donald Trump will not be impeached throughout his first term.

Created by Verres on 2017-12-21; known on 2021-01-20; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2019-12-31.

• Verres estimated 70% on 2017-12-21
• ccokeefe estimated 53% on 2017-12-21
• Baeboo estimated 63% on 2017-12-21
• RobertLumley said “Impeached or convicted? Seems very likely that Democrats take the house, they may or may not try to impeach.” on 2017-12-23
• ccokeefe estimated 48% on 2017-12-23
• JoshuaZ estimated 54% on 2017-12-23
• gallerdude estimated 70% on 2017-12-26
• wuliwong estimated 100% on 2017-12-28
• Ardenlk estimated 80% on 2017-12-30
• JoshuaZ estimated 100% on 2017-12-30
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% and said “Ugh, not what I meant to put in. That might ruin my 100% bracket pretty badly. ” on 2017-12-30
• ccokeefe estimated 54% on 2017-12-30
• Verres said “For clarification, I definitely just mean impeached, not convicted.” on 2017-12-31
• kallman estimated 80% and said “Much as I’d like for him to just stop I don’t think its that likely.” on 2017-12-31
• sdr estimated 75% on 2018-01-01
• atomicspaceman estimated 50% and said “Dems have good odds of taking the House in 2018. My prediction is for impeachment passing the House.” on 2018-01-05
• Athrithalix estimated 85% on 2018-01-17
• ioannes estimated 75% on 2018-01-22
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 75% on 2018-01-22
• krazemon estimated 60% on 2018-01-25
• JTPeterson estimated 70% on 2018-04-24
• peter_hurford estimated 0% and said “Dems have to win the House (~75% odds) and then decide to impeach (~90% odds) and the impeachment vote has to pass (~90% odds). Total = ~60%.” on 2018-04-24
• peter_hurford estimated 60% and said “Ugh I meant 60% not 0.6%” on 2018-04-24
• Jotto999 estimated 58% on 2018-04-25
• JTPeterson   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-12-31.