Falcon Heavy to launch (successfully or not) in January 2018.

Created by chemotaxis101 on 2017-12-21; known on 2018-02-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-02-02.

  • chemotaxis101 estimated 45% on 2017-12-21
  • JoshuaZ estimated 54% on 2017-12-22
  • Bruno Parga estimated 60% on 2018-01-02
  • atomicspaceman estimated 65% and said “50% chance of surviving to booster separation. 40% chance of success to orbit.on 2018-01-07
  • JoshuaZ estimated 36% and said “NET Is now Jan 29on 2018-01-07
  • atomicspaceman estimated 55% on 2018-01-09
  • Bruno Parga  judged this prediction wrong on 2018-02-02.

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