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[No new polio cases in the semester ending] 31 December 2018

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-12-23; known on 2023-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-08-27.

  • Bruno Parga estimated 3% on 2017-12-23
  • JoshuaZ estimated 4% on 2017-12-23
  • Bruno Parga said “Papua New Guinea reported a vaccine-derived case on July 8.” on 2018-08-27
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-08-27.