[No new polio cases in the semester ending] 31 December 2021

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-12-23; known on 2023-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-12-31.

  • Bruno Parga estimated 96% on 2017-12-23
  • Bruno Parga estimated 5% on 2019-01-01
  • Bruno Parga estimated 0% on 2021-07-01
  • Bruno Parga said “It was going down – Pakistan seems not to have had a case since January 27 – but the situation in Afghanistan is likely to deteriorate in the near future.on 2021-12-31
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-12-31.

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