Violent act resulting in at least 2 deaths in Times Square between now and 2 AM 1/1/19 Eastern Time

Created by ccokeefe on 2017-12-31; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by ccokeefe on 2018-01-01.

• ccokeefe estimated 12% on 2017-12-31
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2017-12-31
• ccokeefe estimated 10% on 2018-01-01
• ccokeefe estimated 4% on 2018-01-01
• ccokeefe estimated 1% on 2018-01-01
• ccokeefe   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.