North Korea will test-detonate a nuclear weapon in 2018

Created by ccokeefe on 2018-01-01; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

• ccokeefe estimated 77% on 2018-01-01
• Athrithalix estimated 5% on 2018-01-17
• pmuench estimated 65% on 2018-02-16
• ccokeefe estimated 38% on 2018-04-24
• JTPeterson estimated 5% on 2018-04-24
• ccokeefe estimated 5% on 2018-04-27
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-01.