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In February, Bitcoin prices will hit an ATL. And also rise to within $3800 of the ATH

Created by Nve on 2018-01-01; known on 2018-03-01; judged wrong by ccokeefe on 2018-03-01.

  • Nve estimated 46% on 2018-01-01
  • mortehu said “ATL = all time low? If so, that would be less than $1” on 2018-01-01
  • ioannes estimated 1% and said “lol” on 2018-01-02
  • imaxwell estimated 2% and said “This is a complex prediction (it contains a conjunction) and should be penalized accordingly.” on 2018-01-02
  • ccokeefe estimated 1% on 2018-01-02
  • ccokeefe said “Are the two conjuncts in any sequence?” on 2018-01-02
  • Bruno Parga said “Does this include or exclude a glitch in an exchange that causes BTC to trade for a fraction of a penny?” on 2018-01-02
  • Nve changed the deadline from “on 2018-03-01” and changed their prediction from “In February 2018, Bitcoin prices will hit an ATL. And also rise to within $3800 of the ATH” on 2018-01-12
  • peter_hurford estimated 5% on 2018-01-15
  • ccokeefe said “It seems incredibly unfair to change “ATL” to “below $11K”, since those are wildly different predictions ” on 2018-01-16
  • Nve said “Sorry, I was in a hurry. My mind substituted the time period of the segment that I was modelling.” on 2018-01-17
  • ccokeefe said “No worries. Would you mind changing it back and making a separate prediction for that, though? A lot of people entered predictions for ATL, and the new prediction could really mess up our scores for the extreme brackets.” on 2018-01-18
  • Nve changed the deadline from “on 2018-03-01” and changed their prediction from “In February 2018, Bitcoin prices will trade below $11k. And also rise to within $3800 of the ATH Edit: Changed ATL to “below $11k”.” on 2018-02-01
  • Nve estimated 5% and said “Just keeping yer scores intact.” on 2018-02-01
  • asdfjklasdfjkl estimated 1% on 2018-02-01
  • ccokeefe said “Thank you :-)” on 2018-02-01
  • ccokeefe estimated 3% and said “Increasing slightly due to market turmoil. Still very unlikely, though. ” on 2018-02-03
  • Athrithalix estimated 1% on 2018-02-14
  • ccokeefe   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-03-01.