The information collected by PRISM that's listed as being from Google and Facebook will turn out to have been collected via some means other than a backdoor API/access provided by the companies themselves.

Created by zpinter on 2013-06-07; known on 2014-06-07; judged wrong by kuudes on 2014-12-02.

• zpinter estimated 60% on 2013-06-07
• antsan estimated 30% on 2013-06-10
• RandomThinker said “Govt is strange. I wouldn’t be surprised if they did it by hand + automatically. Meaning that they have a back door, but they don’t access if without going through some procedure by hand. ” on 2013-06-13
• Peter Hurford estimated 5% and said “Companies seem to me as very willing to provide this information to the government, and the government seems to me as very unwilling (and/or unable) to take the information secretly without their cooperation.” on 2013-06-17
• halfwit estimated 20% on 2013-08-02
• zpinter said “https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yVwAodrjZMY&feature=youtu.be&t=6m48sMy original wording was too vague, but it doesn’t sound like the sort of sanctioned backdoor api or “direct access” that was being accused at the time.” on 2014-03-20
• RandomThinker said “http://news.cnet.com/8301-13578_3-57620600-38/nsa-top-lawyer-says-tech-giants-knew-about-data-collection/ Sounds like what I was saying. They have a procedure + they have a backdoor. And sounds like the Big Techs was just fine with that.” on 2014-03-20
• kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-12-02.
• kuudes said “PRISM program seems to be within things provided by the companies themselves, but other things are providing non-consentual access.” on 2014-12-02