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Theresa May UK PM throughout 2018

Created by splorridge on 2018-01-09; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

  • splorridge estimated 66% on 2018-01-09
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 70% on 2018-01-10
  • Temeraire estimated 45% and said “Expect Tory MPs will move to avoid 1) wasting the next 4 years, 2) sleepwalking into electoral defeat.” on 2018-01-12
  • Athrithalix estimated 75% on 2018-01-12
  • Athrithalix estimated 75% on 2018-01-17
  • Athrithalix said “Whoops, didn’t mean to estimate twice, well, at least my feelings on the matter are stable.” on 2018-01-17
  • timmartin estimated 70% on 2018-01-20
  • ccokeefe estimated 70% on 2018-01-23
  • splorridge estimated 40% on 2018-07-10
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction right on 2019-01-01.