North Korea will invade South Korea by January 1st, 2022

Created by playablecharacter on 2018-01-19; known on 2022-01-01

  • playablecharacter estimated 12% on 2018-01-19
  • gallerdude estimated 5% on 2018-01-22
  • JoshuaZ said “Define invade? Is a bombardment or missile launch without troops count as an invasion? on 2018-01-22
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 8% and said “I’m defining “invade” as at least 100 soldiers staying on South Korean territory for at least 48 hours.on 2018-01-22
  • ccokeefe estimated 5% on 2018-01-23
  • JoshuaZ estimated 9% and said “Using PlacidPlatypus’s definition. on 2018-01-24
  • Bacon1001 estimated 5% on 2018-01-25
  • adrepd estimated 5% on 2018-01-25
  • Medea estimated 5% on 2018-02-06
  • avi estimated 5% on 2018-02-10
  • pranomostro estimated 4% on 2018-09-02

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