PredictIt shows Bernie Sanders having highest chance to be Dem nominee at end of 2018.

Created by Jayson Virissimo 16 days ago; known on 2019-01-02

  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 20% 16 days ago
  • RobertLumley estimated 65% 16 days ago
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 40% and said “If I’m reading it right he’s currently at 18%, with the next highest at 14%.16 days ago
  • Temeraire estimated 25% and said “He currently has a very small lead, but how much new evidence will come out by then to upseat him? btw Scott should probably buy the relevant PredictIt contract if he really thinks 60%16 days ago
  • ccokeefe estimated 33% 15 days ago
  • two2thehead said “I hate to criticize predictions, but please change it to something like “…at the end of 2018”. It lowers mistakes and makes it easier to read when you are skimming through lots of potentially similar predictions.14 days ago
  • Jayson Virissimo changed the deadline from “on 2019-01-01” and changed their prediction from “PredictIt shows Bernie Sanders having highest chance to be Dem nominee at end of year.” 14 days ago
  • pmuench estimated 33% 6 days ago
  • ccokeefe estimated 40% 5 days ago

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