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PredictIt shows Donald Trump having highest chance to be GOP nominee at end of year.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2018-02-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by Dapple on 2019-01-02.

  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 75% on 2018-02-06
  • RobertLumley estimated 99% on 2018-02-06
  • Temeraire estimated 96% and said “Basically assured if he remains president. Even if there will be a challenge, the probability mass will likely be split between many.” on 2018-02-07
  • ccokeefe estimated 90% on 2018-02-07
  • Athrithalix estimated 88% on 2018-02-14
  • Matthew_Barnett estimated 90% on 2018-03-06
  • Dapple   judged this prediction right on 2019-01-02.