No major health-care reform legislation gets passed.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2018-02-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by Temeraire on 2019-01-05.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 80% on 2018-02-06
• RobertLumley estimated 95% on 2018-02-06
• Temeraire estimated 92% and said “Republicans failed even when it was a priority.” on 2018-02-07
• ccokeefe estimated 75% on 2018-02-07
• kilotaras said “By what date?” on 2018-02-20
• JoshuaZ said “And defined how? ” on 2018-02-20
• Jayson Virissimo said “Before the end of 2018, thus the ‘known on 2019-01-01’.” on 2018-02-20
• Jayson Virissimo said “Defined by the personal opinion of Scott Alexander.” on 2018-02-20
• Temeraire   judged this prediction right on 2019-01-05.