GLAAD poll suggesting that LGBQ acceptance is down will mostly not be borne out by further research.
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2018-02-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by elephantower on 2020-01-01.
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 95% on 2018-02-06
- RobertLumley estimated 95% on 2018-02-06
- Temeraire estimated 95% and said “regression to secular trend” on 2018-02-07
- Athrithalix estimated 90% on 2018-02-07
- two2thehead estimated 51% and said “Let’s be conservative. I’m almost sure that this is a blip but don’t know enough/don’t know what I don’t know.” on 2018-02-07
- ccokeefe estimated 65% on 2018-02-07
- elephantower said “https://www.glaad.org/releases/annual-glaad-study-shows-further-decline-lgbtq-acceptance-among-younger-americansI think this counts as wrong (why were people so confident???)” on 2020-01-01
- elephantower judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.