Another Soyuz Fregat stage suffers some form of failure that leads to the loss or incorrect insertion of one or more satellites in the next two years.

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-22; known 29 days ago; judged wrong by Athrithalix 29 days ago.

  • Athrithalix estimated 40% on 2018-03-22
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 55% on 2018-04-04
  • pranomostro estimated 50% on 2018-11-25
  • Athrithalix   judged this prediction wrong 29 days ago.
  • Athrithalix said “EgyptSat 2 suffered issues with the Soyuz rocket, but the Fregat stage was not the issue, and in fact likely saved the day.29 days ago

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