TESS will launch before the end of April (there will be no further major delays to its launch).
- Athrithalix estimated 75% on 2018-03-29
- Jotto999 said “Title is weird. Are we betting just that it launches, and the stuff after in parentheses about major delays is irrelevant? Are we betting that it both launches before the end of April AND that there are major delays?” on 2018-03-30
- Athrithalix said “Oh, sorry, I meant to put “NO major delays”, I’ll edit” on 2018-04-03
- Athrithalix changed the deadline from “on 2018-05-01” and changed their prediction from “TESS will launch before the end of April (there will be further major delays to its launch).” on 2018-04-03
- Jotto999 estimated 65% on 2018-04-04
- chemotaxis101 estimated 80% on 2018-04-04
- Athrithalix judged this prediction right on 2018-04-27.
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