World War 3 to begin in 2018. (Formal war involving at least three large, developed nations, with some on separate sides).

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-04-16; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by kuudes on 2019-01-01.

• Athrithalix estimated 2% on 2018-04-16
• Jotto999 estimated 0% and said “My estimate is for anything in the same ball park as WW2.” on 2018-04-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2018-04-17
• DanMotorcycleGuy estimated 0% and said “whoever came up with this really needs to alter their sources of information and stop watching fake news / lefty propaganda” on 2018-04-22
• JoshuaZ said “It is a mistake to label anything you think is wrong as “fake news” or propaganda from the political end that you perceive as opposed to your own politics. ” on 2018-04-22
• DanMotorcycleGuy said “and yet fake news and propaganda is very real. Being that you rated the bet as 1% vs my 0% you pretty much agree with me.” on 2018-04-23
• JTPeterson estimated 1% on 2018-04-24
• peter_hurford estimated 1% and said “Saying a world war occurs on average in one out every 100 years seems reasonable” on 2018-04-24
• unexpectedEOF estimated 5% on 2018-06-01
• Medea estimated 1% on 2018-07-09
• jcmlima estimated 0% on 2018-07-13
• JTPeterson estimated 0% on 2018-07-16
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2018-11-07
• two2thehead estimated 0% and said “Free internet points please” on 2018-11-09
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2018-11-10
• pranomostro estimated 1% on 2018-11-25
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2018-12-12
• kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-01.