World War 3 to begin in 2018. (Formal war involving at least three large, developed nations, with some on separate sides).

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-04-16; known on 2018-12-31

  • Athrithalix estimated 2% on 2018-04-16
  • Jotto999 estimated 0% and said “My estimate is for anything in the same ball park as WW2.on 2018-04-16
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2018-04-17
  • DanMotorcycleGuy estimated 0% and said “whoever came up with this really needs to alter their sources of information and stop watching fake news / lefty propagandaon 2018-04-22
  • JoshuaZ said “It is a mistake to label anything you think is wrong as “fake news” or propaganda from the political end that you perceive as opposed to your own politics. on 2018-04-22
  • DanMotorcycleGuy said “and yet fake news and propaganda is very real. Being that you rated the bet as 1% vs my 0% you pretty much agree with me.on 2018-04-23
  • JTPeterson estimated 1% on 2018-04-24
  • peter_hurford estimated 1% and said “Saying a world war occurs on average in one out every 100 years seems reasonableon 2018-04-24
  • unexpectedEOF estimated 5% on 2018-06-01
  • Medea estimated 1% on 2018-07-09
  • jcmlima estimated 0% on 2018-07-13
  • JTPeterson estimated 0% on 2018-07-16

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