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The referendum on the Irish 8th Amendment will pass.

Created by davatk on 2018-04-25; known on 2018-05-26; judged right by davatk on 2018-05-26.

  • davatk estimated 60% on 2018-04-25
  • davatk said “(i.e., Yes wins, abortion probably becomes legal, etc.)” on 2018-04-25
  • jbeshir estimated 70% on 2018-05-19
  • jbeshir estimated 75% on 2018-05-19
  • davatk   judged this prediction right on 2018-05-26.