Politics, Columbia – FARC peace deal remains in place on January 1, 2019

Created by jbeshir on 2018-04-26; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2019-01-04.

• jbeshir estimated 87% on 2018-04-26
• Athrithalix estimated 80% on 2018-04-26
• lalaithion estimated 84% on 2018-04-30
• bendini estimated 85% on 2018-06-16
• bw estimated 80% on 2018-07-01
• pranomostro estimated 85% on 2018-09-19
• Bruno Parga said “What would it mean for this prediction to fail? Paramilitaries are hunting former FARC members and 85 of them have been killed; but the guerilla remains disbanded and the civil war has ended.” on 2019-01-01
• jbeshir said “Civil war to remain ended; FARC remains disbanded. So resolving as correct, despite violence in their former territories.” on 2019-01-04
• jbeshir   judged this prediction right on 2019-01-04.