Politics, Libya – Libya still has two rival governments on January 1, 2019

Created by jbeshir on 2018-04-26; known 18 days ago; judged right by Baeboo 16 days ago.

  • jbeshir estimated 90% on 2018-04-26
  • Athrithalix estimated 72% on 2018-04-26
  • JoshuaZ said “Defined how? on 2018-04-26
  • jbeshir said “The House of Representatives has not joined the Unity government, or if it has, some similarly large chunk (e.g. the former GNC) departs. Small rebellions/uncontrolled militias that are not credibly in the running for government do not count.on 2018-04-30
  • lalaithion estimated 87% on 2018-04-30
  • bendini estimated 40% on 2018-06-16
  • bw estimated 80% on 2018-07-01
  • bendini said “Seems like I had bad information here. I generally refuse to bow to consensus when my intuition disagrees. This often works in my favour, but here I’d have been better listening to the crowd’s wisdom.on 2018-09-18
  • pranomostro estimated 85% on 2018-09-19
  • Baeboo estimated 98% on 2018-12-12
  • Baeboo  judged this prediction right 16 days ago.

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