EA – GiveWell publishes at least two reports on interventions to influence policy by end of 2018

Created by jbeshir on 2018-04-26; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2019-01-04.

• jbeshir estimated 70% on 2018-04-26
• lalaithion estimated 65% on 2018-04-30
• bendini estimated 65% on 2018-06-16
• bw estimated 67% on 2018-07-01
• pranomostro estimated 60% on 2018-09-19
• jbeshir said “No signs of reports; per http://www.webcitation.org/75AVXVPza they report a problem ongoing as of Dec 2018 with keeping up with building their research into publishable reports that might be related.” on 2019-01-04
• jbeshir   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-04.