PredictionBook is now read-only (

EA – GiveWell's end of year donation recommendations for 2018 once again recommend a majority of direct donations go to Against Malaria Foundation

Created by jbeshir on 2018-04-26; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by pranomostro on 2019-01-03.

  • jbeshir estimated 80% on 2018-04-26
  • lalaithion estimated 82% on 2018-04-30
  • bendini estimated 85% on 2018-06-16
  • bw estimated 80% on 2018-07-01
  • pranomostro estimated 90% on 2018-09-19
  • pranomostro said “This seems to resolve to wrong: (top charity now is malaria consortium).on 2019-01-03
  • pranomostro   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-03.
  • jbeshir said “Yeah, and they don’t specifically recommend any single one of their top charities to receive the majority of direct donations; not having such a recommendation at all also makes this false.on 2019-01-27
  • bendini said “…did they ever recommend a majority to AMF? If not, this was a misleading prediction.on 2019-02-04