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Rationalist Community – Slate Star Codex gets mentioned in the New York Times (by someone other than Ross Douthat) between 1st of July and end of 2018

Created by jbeshir on 2018-04-26; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2019-01-02.

  • jbeshir estimated 15% on 2018-04-26
  • JoshuaZ estimated 18% on 2018-04-26
  • davatk estimated 35% on 2018-04-26
  • lalaithion estimated 23% on 2018-04-30
  • JTPeterson estimated 13% on 2018-05-03
  • bendini estimated 15% on 2018-06-16
  • bw estimated 20% on 2018-07-01
  • bw said “What about linking without naming the author or site?on 2018-07-01
  • jbeshir said “I’d consider that as not meeting the criteria of a “mention”, but it is an interesting question in its own right.on 2018-07-07
  • pranomostro estimated 12% and said “This would be more likely if Scott wrote something enraging, but I think he got a lot more careful over the years.on 2018-09-09
  • Baeboo estimated 3% on 2018-12-12
  • Baeboo   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-02.