Rationalist Community – LessWrong.com has at least 20 front page posts approved during December 2018

Created by jbeshir on 2018-04-26; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by Baeboo on 2019-01-02.

• jbeshir estimated 80% on 2018-04-26
• lalaithion estimated 72% on 2018-04-30
• bendini estimated 75% on 2018-06-16
• bw estimated 70% on 2018-07-01
• pranomostro estimated 66% on 2018-10-11
• Jennifer estimated 82% and said “In November, it happened.” on 2018-12-03
• Baeboo estimated 100% on 2018-12-12
• Baeboo   judged this prediction right on 2019-01-02.
• bw said “contest verification: vpEYgQ8KH7F5Kl5Q4fKBJ9UfjLnKhncO” on 2019-01-27