If Saudi Aramco has a 2018 foreign IPO, the company's implied valuation will be less than $2 trillion.

Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2019-01-02.

• Cato estimated 90% on 2018-05-06
• Cato   judged this prediction right on 2019-01-02.
• Cato said “Since this is a conditional and the antecedent is false, the claim is trivially true. More importantly, the consequent seems to be true too.” on 2019-01-02