Before 1 January 2019, the US federal government bans the manufacture, importation, possession, or sale of bump stocks.
- jbeshir estimated 55% on 2018-05-11
- jbeshir said “From Good Judgement Open. Regulatory or legislative bans will count, as will bans with exemptions. The date that any ban would take effect is immaterial to the outcome of the question.” on 2018-05-11
- JoshuaZ estimated 32% on 2018-05-13
- Jennifer estimated 89% and said “Only 29 days left, but press reports suggest that the announcement is “days away”.” on 2018-12-03
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction right on 2019-01-01.
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