Before 1 January 2019, the US federal government bans the manufacture, importation, possession, or sale of bump stocks.

Created by jbeshir on 2018-05-11; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

• jbeshir estimated 55% on 2018-05-11
• jbeshir said “From Good Judgement Open. Regulatory or legislative bans will count, as will bans with exemptions. The date that any ban would take effect is immaterial to the outcome of the question.” on 2018-05-11
• JoshuaZ estimated 32% on 2018-05-13
• Jennifer estimated 89% and said “Only 29 days left, but press reports suggest that the announcement is “days away”.” on 2018-12-03
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction right on 2019-01-01.