Donald Trump will explicitly express support for Taiwanese independence this year.

Created by Cato on 2018-07-16; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-01-02.

• Cato estimated 10% on 2018-07-16
• Cato said “Tweets count. Saying “I really think they ought to declare independence someday, why not?” counts.” on 2018-07-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2018-07-16
• JTPeterson estimated 4% on 2018-07-16
• Shorntane estimated 0% on 2018-07-24
• ldor_11 estimated 5% on 2018-08-01
• XDitto estimated 1% on 2018-08-30
• Medea estimated 15% on 2018-09-10
• Cato   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-02.