Runaway methane release from permafrost and other sources to result in near extinction or imminent extinction of humanity by August 15, 2038

Created by JoshuaZ on 2018-08-02; known on 2038-08-15

• JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2018-08-02
• JoshuaZ said “Context https://www.reddit.com/r/AskReddit/comments/93647r/reddit_what_do_you_think_is_a_tickingtime_bomb/e3berjr/ claims it definitely will. ” on 2018-08-02
• pranomostro estimated 2% on 2018-09-02
• phi estimated 1% on 2018-09-05
• Medea estimated 0% and said “If it happens, this site certainly won’t be running anymore.” on 2018-09-10
• NickN estimated 0% on 2020-08-16