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Ethereal will win TCEC season 13

Created by Leo on 2018-08-27; known on 2018-09-06; judged wrong by Leo on 2018-10-06.

  • Leo estimated 20% on 2018-08-27
  • Leo estimated 30% on 2018-08-30
  • Leo estimated 80% on 2018-09-02
  • Leo estimated 98% on 2018-09-03
  • Leo estimated 1% and said “This is embarrassing. I confused Division 1 with the Premier Division and forgot about an entire round.Lesson: Extreme probabilities are dominated by the chance I’m being totally stupid in my assumptions.” on 2018-09-18
  • Leo   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-10-06.