The World Health Organization or the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention will declare an influenza pandemic before 2019?

Created by lukefreeman on 2018-09-04; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by lukefreeman on 2019-01-01.

• lukefreeman estimated 3% on 2018-09-04
• lukefreeman changed the deadline from “on 2019-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Will the World Health Organization or the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention declare an influenza pandemic before 2019?” on 2018-09-04
• lukefreeman estimated 1% and said “I didn’t account for the fact that there’s only a few months left in the year” on 2018-09-04
• pranomostro estimated 1% on 2018-09-09
• Medea estimated 1% on 2018-09-10
• lukefreeman   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-01.