Politics, US – Before 2019, the President, Vice President, White House Press Secretary, White House Chief of Staff, or Attorney General names a suspected author of the New York Times “Resistance” op-ed.
- jbeshir estimated 10% on 2018-09-28
- pranomostro estimated 70% on 2018-09-29
- Jennifer estimated 5% and said “The author was Pence or one of his speech writers (p=0.91). Google [Pence Lodestar]. The question is the disjunctive probability of it saliently profiting Pence or the other 4 to re-raise the subject in the next 29 days. Jeff Sessions might?” on 2018-12-03
- jbeshir judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-02.
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