Convincing evidence will prove that Amazon, Apple, etc.'s chips were compromised.

Created by krazemon on 2018-10-06; known on 2019-04-06; judged wrong by krazemon on 2019-04-06.

• krazemon estimated 35% on 2018-10-06
• pranomostro estimated 25% on 2018-10-11
• Michael Dickens said “Compromised in general, or specifically compromised in the way described by the recent Bloomberg article?” on 2018-10-12
• jbeshir estimated 30% on 2018-10-14
• sdr estimated 15% on 2018-10-22
• Michael Dickens estimated 15% and said “I’m assuming you mean specifically compromised in the way described by the Bloomberg article” on 2018-10-23
• enolan estimated 20% on 2018-10-31
• azt estimated 41% on 2018-11-04
• Jennifer estimated 8% and said “The chips are compromised. The question is modeling the politics of admission in the next ~5 months (now to April 6th). Maybe after the corps switch chips? Maybe another “Snowden event”? Maybe in 5|10|25 years for “transparency to history”?” on 2018-12-03
• PseudonymousUser estimated 8% on 2019-04-03
• krazemon said “Compromised in the way described by the recent Bloomberg article (or similar enough to be judged as “the same”).” on 2019-04-06
• krazemon   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-04-06.
• krazemon said “Judged wrong given that none of the large companies involved seem to have made major admissions and I couldn’t find any news about further confirmation.” on 2019-04-06