L will be working as an irl sexworker three months from now

Created by Somni on 2018-11-16; known on 2019-02-16; judged wrong by Somni on 2019-02-19.

Somni estimated 16% on 2018-11-16
absurdseagull estimated 6% and said “~2% probability per month given unreliabiltiy” on 2018-12-01
Somni judged this prediction wrong on 2019-02-19.