Econ – The yield curve for 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasuries inverts before 2019, as defined as the former having a higher figure in the Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rate on any one day prior to then.

Created by jbeshir on 2018-11-24; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2019-01-02.

• jbeshir estimated 10% on 2018-11-24
• pranomostro estimated 12% on 2018-11-25
• Michael Dickens estimated 10% on 2018-12-08
• jbeshir said “2/5 did, but not 2/10.” on 2019-01-02
• jbeshir   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-02.