Before 2020, there'll be a news story about Google/FB/Amazon or other multibillion dollar public tech company employee being a government (US or foreign) mole.
Created by RandomThinker on 2013-06-18; known on 2020-01-02; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2020-04-21.
- RandomThinker estimated 55% on 2013-06-18
- RandomThinker changed the deadline from “on 2020-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Before 2020, there'll be a public story about Google/FB/Amazon or other multibillion dollar tech company employee being a government (US or foreign) mole.” on 2013-06-18
- RandomThinker changed the deadline from “on 2020-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Before 2020, there'll be a public story about Google/FB/Amazon or other multibillion dollar public tech company employee being a government (US or foreign) mole.” on 2013-06-18
- halfwit estimated 35% on 2013-06-18
- Michael Dickens estimated 35% on 2013-06-19
- jasticE estimated 67% on 2013-06-25
- themusicgod1 estimated 58% on 2016-04-15
- enoch said “https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/20/us/politics/saudi-image-campaign-twitter.html” on 2020-01-03
- PseudonymousUser said “Do the Huawei stories count?” on 2020-01-21
- wizzwizz4 said “I think so – it doesn’t specify how reputable the news organisation has to be, but the Huawei stories qualify anyway. It also doesn’t specify whether the stories are true, so we should be able to judge this “right” without controversy.” on 2020-01-21
- PseudonymousUser said “Based on Enoch’s post above, which I somehow missed, this prediction should resolve as true. ” on 2020-04-21
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction right on 2020-04-21.